Tuesday, January 30, 2007

Colts Gallop With Super Bowl In Computer Simulation

DEFIANCE, Ohio (Wireless Flash - FlashNews) – Super Bowl XLI doesn’t take place until Sunday (Feb. 4), but a computer programmer in Defiance, Ohio, already knows the final score.

David Holt, a software programmer for sportsims.net, has just completed 20,000 separate game simulations between the Indianapolis Colts and the Chicago Bears.

After averaging everything out, he predicts the final score will Colts 30, Bears 24.

Holt says the Colts won nearly 62 percent of the simulations, usually by a score of 35-23, while the Bears achieved victory 38 percent of the time, with an average final score of 35-26.

He says, generally, a team wins at least 60 percent of simulated games usually wins in real life.

In addition, Holt says the simulation predicts a big game for Colts quarterback Peyton Manning, mainly because the Bears defense is missing two key players and, he points out, “they don’t have a high interception rate. Most of their turnovers come from fumbles.”

Holt jokes that now that the final outcome has been determined, fans have more time to concentrate on watching the commercials.

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