Thursday, February 19, 2009

Statistical Formula Predicts Oscar Wins For Pitt And Winslet

NEW YORK (Wireless Flash - FlashNews) – The Oscars aren’t until Sunday (Feb. 22), but a statistical formula has already figured out the night’s biggest winners.

Since 1998, Karen Bennett and her statistician dad Jay Bennett have been picking the Best Actor and Best Actress Oscar winners based on a mathematical formula they came up with.

The formula starts by giving each nominee 30 points if they appear in a Best Picture-nominated film. If they’ve won an Oscar before, they lose five points. The closer they are to the “magic age” for an Oscar – 43 years old – the better.

This year, the Bennetts’ point system predicts Brad Pitt will win the Oscar for The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button because he’s 45.

Kate Winslet will win for The Reader, since she’s never won before and has the most points of any actress in her category.

Karen Bennett says the Oscar formula has a 50 percent success rate, and every year they get at least one winner right.

Her family bets on the outcomes and whoever wins gets taken to a movie of their choice. Karen once won and made her entire family take her to see Sisterhood Of The Traveling Pants.

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